Chairman’s Message 2009-2010

2010: The year of recovery

The economic recovery from the ‘08-‘09 global downturn had begun to pick up momentum in the second half of 2009 and finally turned the corner in the second half of 2010.

Market sentiment was definitely buoyant as we entered 2010, as shippers faced space shortages and rising freight rates in the first quarter. The situation may or may not have been artificial, as factors like clearing orders before the long holiday period, and the grounding of cargo fleets and container ships during the economic slowdown in previous months. The ‘cargo rush’ experienced during the early days of 2010  made it seem like we were indeed in what economists were calling a ‘post-crisis economy’. Yet, the signs were not so clear. There had been slight improvement in Christmas sales for the US and UK markets. However, seasonal sales in Germany, Italy, France, Spain and Japan had been unsatisfactory. Indeed, unemployment rates in the EU and the US exceeded 10%.

Ranking high on the concern lists of Hong Kong exporters were weak demand and unreasonable low-price demands by buyers. In sea cargo, the exports from China ports were stable but the imports were growing fast, indicating that raw materials were coming in for manufacturing and processing, and pointing to future export growth. In freight rates, Transpacific shipments that are bound by service contracts, remained stable. But the Far East-Europe trade freight rates was much more volatile, with general freight rates going up by as much as 300% in the second half of 2010. 

After record highs in July, shippers found temporary relief as freight rates suffered a phenomenal drop in August 2010. Shipping lines struggled to impose a “2nd Peak Season Surcharge” and “Container Positioning Charge” to shore up revenue, but all these measures failed. It seemed at this point that the ‘recovery’ that was very promising in the first half of 2010, was not going to push through.

One of the reasons that the trade saw as a factor to the drop in freight rates, was the vessel capacity investigation launched by the US Federal Maritime Commission in March 2010.  The FMC was looking into shippers complaints that the market was being artificially manipulated by the same tactics the shipping lines had first used to counter recession. Slow-steaming and grounding ships during the recession seemed logical, but even as trade was coming back strong, the shipping lines were keeping the measures in place as they seemed to be boosting freight rates. In September 2010, FMC Chairman Richard Lidinsky presented the findings of the investigation, asking for legislative changes that would give it authority to adjudicate contract disputes between shippers and carriers.  

EBS

Meanwhile, even as south China shippers faced the challenges of the recession and were trying to get in tune with the recovery, we suffered another blow delivered by the shipping lines on the China – intraAsia trade. The lines servicing the trade announced in March 2010 a new charge, the EBS or Emergency Bunker Surcharge. The charges were RMB300 per TEU and RMB600 per FEU for all export shipments in the intra-Asia trade. The EBS, said the shipping lines, was to be collected for all export shipments from China at ports of origin, regardless of whether the cargo has been “pre-paid at origin” or “collected at destination”.  Shipping lines were ignoring the international trade practice that under FOB terms, all freight charges including fuel related costs are paid by importers at the destination.

In a coordinated move, the China Shipper’s Association, Shenzhen Shipper’s Association, Hong Kong Shippers’ Council and Macau Shippers’ Association had taken collective action and protested to authorities in Hong Kong and China, calling for the immediate withdrawal of the EBS.

Earlier, in 2008, the eight shipping lines servicing the Taiwan to Hong Kong/South China trade tried to impose an EBS. After protests by shippers, they withdrew the charge but eventually seven lines reinstated the charge. Shippers were advised to use the lines that do not charge EBS.

Minimum wage law

Hong Kong’s minimum wage law was in heavy discussion in May 2010, as shippers cautioned on the effects of the law on the logistics trade, which is quite different in nature to other sectors. There are services in the supply chain that can be labor-intensive, and costs become a critical factor of whether such services should be performed in Hong Kong or in other, more competitive, nearby regions. It is not a pleasant scenario but an accepted fact nevertheless that the Hong Kong port’s share of export cargo from South China has been slipping and will continue to do so due to cost advantages of using the Shenzhen ports. 

The minimum wage law was introduced in LegCo in July 2010, and in November 2010, a HK$28 per hour rate was recommended by the Provisional Minimum Wage Commission and adopted by the Chief Executive-in-Council.  It was passed by the Legislative Council in January 2011 and will become mandatory in May 2011.

Radical changes

As 2010 came to a close, we foresaw radical changes in the coming years in the global cargo security regime.  The 24-hour Advance Manifest System that has been in place in the US for some years now, became a requirement for EU Customs in January 2011. In the US, the Transportation Security Administration’s (TSA) 100% screening rule was put into effect on August 1st, 2010, requiring all cargo moving aboard passenger aircraft be screened before loading. The US has said that it eventually plans to impose 100% screening on all export at departure ports prior to shipping to the US, so international cargo would be affected. The challenges are great, primarily in the lack of machines to be used for scanning.

There were surges in cargo throughput at the Hong Kong port in 2010 and, except for October and December, the monthly growth rates were at double-digits. The 2010 throughput growth at the port was at 12.6%, while for the Shenzhen ports it was 23.3%.

In airfreight, 2010 turned out to be a record breaking year for the Hong Kong airport.  Cargo handled at HKIA increased 23.4% over 2009, to 4.1 million tonnes; and air traffic movements rose 9.7% to 306,535. Even passenger traffic saw a 10.3% increase over 2009. All signs are pointing to a robust economy in 2011.

  • 2010: The year of recovery
  • Hong Kong is the ideal RDC
  • Turmoil continues into 2009
  • Hong Kong’s share of PRD cargo
  • Emergency Bunker Surcharge
  • COMPAG replies
  • Charges and surcharges
  • Service providers